Experts overwhelmingly favor the Pittsburgh Steelers in their Monday night matchup against the New York Giants, with little support for a Giants upset. Although there are no guaranteed victories in the NFL, Pittsburgh is widely expected to win. According to NFLPickWatch.com, only 3% of 202 experts are backing the Giants, tying them with Cleveland for the week’s lowest selection percentage.
Historically, the Steelers have won three of their last five games against New York, including a 24-16 victory on September 14, 2020. The Steelers’ strong defense, allowing only 14.1 points per game, contrasts sharply with the Giants’ offense, which has struggled to score consistently. New York enters the game with a 2-5 record and has managed only two wins as underdogs this season. Quarterback Daniel Jones, also 0-7 in Monday night appearances, performs better on the road, where he has a 106.7 passer rating and six touchdown passes compared to his 63.2 rating and zero touchdowns at home.
Despite recent challenges, Jones’ road performance and rookie wide receiver Malik Nabers’ return from injury provide a glimmer of hope. Nabers, who missed two games after a concussion, previously had high involvement with 45 targets before his injury.
Defensively, the Giants will face a major test containing Pittsburgh’s offense and dealing with stars like linebacker T.J. Watt, who already has four-and-a-half sacks this season. Last week, Steelers quarterback Russell Wilson completed 16 of 26 passes for 266 yards and two touchdowns in his first start, showing the Steelers’ offensive potential. New York must also prepare for a potential Justin Fields appearance.
The Steelers’ historic success at home on Monday nights could prove formidable, as they are undefeated in such games since 1991, holding a 21-game winning streak.
Odds for the game will be updated as they change.