West Virginia fans are unlikely to be satisfied if the team only reaches a bowl game this season.
Though the 2024 season has been a letdown, West Virginia still has a chance to end strong with a relatively favorable schedule in November. Much of this will depend on quarterback Garrett Greene’s return, although it’s unclear if and when he’ll be back.
With the bye week here, it’s a good time to look at the bigger picture, using ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) projections. Here’s how the FPI rates West Virginia’s chances in each remaining game.
At Cincinnati – 39.8%
This game is challenging to predict. West Virginia has faced a tough schedule and may still be without their starting quarterback. Cincinnati, meanwhile, is 5-3 but has yet to face a ranked opponent, with wins over Towson, Miami (OH), Arizona State (who had a backup quarterback), and struggling Big 12 teams UCF and Houston. While the Bearcats are favored at home, this matchup could be closer than expected.
Vs. Baylor – 54.1%
Baylor, after a rough 2-4 start, has bounced back with two wins and is playing better, especially with quarterback Sawyer Robertson showing strong form. Given this, it’s understandable that the FPI slightly favors West Virginia, though the outcome feels like a toss-up.
Vs. UCF – 53.6%
West Virginia’s chance of winning against UCF is pegged at just over 53%, which seems low. UCF is on a five-game losing streak and could potentially extend that to seven before heading to Morgantown. The Knights’ struggles make it questionable how motivated they’ll be for this late-November game.
At Texas Tech – 45.4%
This prediction might be generous, considering Texas Tech’s potent offense, led by quarterback Behren Morton and running back Tahj Brooks. The Red Raiders have consistently outplayed West Virginia in recent matchups, so a Mountaineers win in this season finale would be surprising.
