Georgia football has been the dominant force in college football over the past three seasons, boasting back-to-back national championships and two SEC titles. However, a recent analysis by Pick Six Previews has caused a stir, labeling the Bulldogs among the “most overrated” teams in the country over the last three years. But is there any merit to this claim?
The analysis isn’t based on Georgia’s on-field success but rather their record against the spread (ATS). According to the data, Georgia has covered the spread in only 40.5% of their games from 2022-2024. This places them in the same conversation as teams like Stanford, Miami, and Purdue, which have significantly underwhelmed on the national stage.
The methodology reveals that Georgia consistently underperforms relative to public and Vegas expectations. But calling the Bulldogs “overrated” is misleading. Georgia’s dominance on the field has been unmatched during this period, with the program achieving historic levels of success.
Why Georgia Falls Short Against the Spread
The Bulldogs’ struggles ATS stem more from heightened expectations than a failure to perform. As reigning champions, Georgia is frequently expected not just to win but to dominate. This often leads to inflated point spreads that even the best teams would struggle to meet.
For instance, Georgia’s blowout victories might still fail to meet a spread that assumes near-perfection. Unlike teams that have genuinely disappointed, Georgia’s inclusion on this list is a byproduct of betting markets setting an impossibly high bar.
The Bigger Picture
While the Bulldogs may have a subpar ATS record, it’s hard to argue they’re overrated. Over the past three years, they’ve cemented their status as a college football dynasty. Few programs can rival Georgia’s recruiting success, depth of talent, or on-field results during this span.
If anything, this analysis underscores the expectations that come with being at the top. Georgia doesn’t need validation from ATS stats to prove its dominance. While critics may latch onto labels like “overrated,” the Bulldogs’ trophy case tells the real story.
In the end, Georgia’s unmatched success speaks louder than betting lines ever could. If being “overrated” means winning championships and dominating the competition, then most teams would love to have Georgia’s problems.
