— In a surprising twist that’s ignited a wave of optimism in Hokie Nation, Virginia Tech has leapt far higher than expected in ESPN’s Preseason Football Power Index (FPI) rankings, earning a national ranking of No. 18 — their highest preseason FPI position since 2010.
The annual FPI, which blends factors like returning production, recruiting rankings, coaching stability, and efficiency metrics, appears to have responded favorably to the Hokies’ offseason improvements. With second-year head coach Brent Pry continuing to reshape the program, and the return of quarterback D.J. Kinney along with seven starters on both sides of the ball, ESPN’s model sees Virginia Tech as a dark horse in the ACC title race.
The surprise ranking comes amid a broader shakeup in the FPI’s top 25, where several traditional powerhouses such as LSU and Penn State slipped due to coaching turnovers and roster depth questions. In contrast, Virginia Tech’s quiet consistency — bolstered by a strong finish to last season with a 4-game win streak — earned them analytical praise.
“This isn’t just an algorithmic fluke,” said ESPN analyst Bill Connelly. “The Hokies have quietly built a team that’s balanced, experienced, and motivated. They’re not flashy, but they could be one of the most complete teams in the ACC.”
The America First Football Surprise Ranking, a fan-driven social media trend tracking unexpected risers in preseason projections, placed the Hokies at No. 3 on its “Most Improved Outlook” list — behind only Colorado and Arizona State. This “surprise index,” fueled by online chatter and data shifts, has amplified the buzz around Virginia Tech heading into fall camp.
On campus, students and alumni are feeling the momentum. “There’s a different energy this year,” said junior linebacker Kam Tyler. “We’ve been doubted before, but now the numbers are starting to see what we see every day in practice.”
Virginia Tech opens the 2025 season with a nationally televised matchup against Rutgers, followed by a pivotal early-September clash with defending ACC champs Florida State. With momentum, talent, and now analytics on their side, the Hokies may be ready to shock more than just the spreadsheet.
Whether ESPN’s FPI is a preview of greatness or a preseason mirage remains to be seen — but for the first time in years, Hokie fans have reason to dream big.
